Summary:
- Three Arrows Capital Co-Founder Zhu Su believes Bitcoin might have reentered an accumulation range.
- According to his analysis, Bitcoin has had a record-breaking seven weeks in the red, signaling possible accumulation.
- Bitcoin spot and derivatives volumes are also at their one-year highs.
- Bitcoin is exhibiting some strength against stocks almost overnight
- Earlier this week, Zhu Su confirmed that Three Arrows Capital had been hit hard by the depegging of UST and subsequent market sell-off and inflation of LUNA.
The Co-Founder of Three Arrows Capital, Zhu Su, is of the opinion that Bitcoin might have entered an accumulation range.
According to his analysis shared via Twitter, Bitcoin could be entering the accumulation range due to the record-breaking seven weeks that it has recently experienced. Also, Bitcoin spot and derivatives volume have both hit yearly highs during the Luna Foundation Guard liquidation of its 80k Bitcoin reserves.
Some signs #Bitcoin is re-entering an accumul range
1) 7weeks down, most in btc history
2) largest spot and deriv volume in a yr during lfg liquidation of 80k btc to 26k price
3) btc strength vs stocks overnight
4) Mayer multiple at lows
5) Asian hrs stronger than US hrs pic.twitter.com/FxIwnVHsoX— Zhu Su 🔺🌕 (@zhusu) May 19, 2022
Bitcoin has Exhibited Strength Over Stocks.
Zhu Su pointed out that Bitcoin is exhibiting remarkable strength against stocks, and its Asian trading hours are now showing more strength than US trading hours.
Furthermore, he pointed to the recent 7k Bitcoin flow into Canada’s Purpose Bitcoin ETF during last week’s turmoil as a sign that buyers are stepping up at current BTC levels. He also shared the following reasons as to why he believes Bitcoin is likely in an accumulation range:
- The resurgence of Tether FUD in the crypto markets is similar to late 2019, when the markets were cooling down after a year-long sell-off.
- Bitfinex Bitcoin longs hitting new all-time highs.
- Traders are now starting to short Bitcoin to hedge against private sales.
Possible White Swan Triggers for Bitcoin
Mr. Su also shared that there could be three White Swan events that could catalyze the accumulation of Bitcoin by retail traders, institutions, and even sovereign countries. The White Swan events include:
- El Salvador’s Bitcoin conference hosting 44 global central banks
- Potential of OPEC to use Bitcoin in international payments
- Commodity nation sovereign wealth to conduct thesis-driven allocations of Bitocin
Three Arrows Capital Was Hit Hard by UST’s Depegging and LUNA’s Market Meltdown
Also worth mentioning is that in an earlier Tweet, Zhu Su had confirmed that Three Arrows Capital had suffered some losses due to UST’s depegging and the LUNA market meltdown that soon followed. He said:
Some ppl asked me why I am keeping luna in my profile Its bc i invested in it, believe in the community, and share in the common purpose.
The attacks and subsequent de-peg risks were flagged by critics; the fast-growing ecosystem shouldve done more to move slowly+safely.
This has been an incredibly humbling week and its difficult to find the right words.
The critics had genuine concerns about peg risks and going fwd discussion must be encouraged, “fud” must be met w refutations, growth must be organic even if slower.
This is Terra’s DAO hack moment I will not pretend to know what the future holds but I will do my part to help.
According to a Bloomberg report, Three Arrows Capital and Jump Crypto had participated in a $1 billion sale of LUNA tokens in February of this year.
